UFC Fight Night 164 From Sao Paulo: Odds, Picks, and Predictions

MMA Fighters Jan Blachowicz and Ronaldo Souza - UFC Fight Night Logo - Flag of Brazil Background

On the off chance that you're not mindful, the UFC was initially begun by the Gracie family. It was made to grandstand their craft of Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu. It isn't, be that as it may, the main figure a blended combative techniques battle in cutting edge battling. Or then again is it?

the vast majority of specialists and most of relaxed fans will let you know that wrestling skill positions higher than boxing, kickboxing, or accommodation ability with respect to a contender's possibility getting their hand raised toward the finish of the challenge.

Here is my take and you can concur or conflict.

As of now in 2019, MMA contenders have all prepared Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu. They figure out the recurring patterns on the ground, especially fending away from one and shielding entries.

The predominant grappler, then again, controls on the off chance that the battle happens on the feet or the ground. That is VERY significant. As far as I might be concerned, however, a base degree of BJJ is as yet the main piece of a contender's down.

I would say, I came up as a Muay Thai beautician who fiddled with BJJ for a couple of years yet when I had my most memorable smoker battles, I was still green on the ground. I'm exceptionally thin and not solid by any stretch of the imagination. I was even less overwhelming a long time back when I was a white belt.

We would have Division 1 school grapplers come in the rec center who had me by 20+ pounds and a few degrees of solidarity and blast on the ground in front of me.

Remember, these folks have no BJJ as of now. They would bring me down effectively, I would enclose them by my watchman and they would strain forward. I would either toss them in a triangle or clear them rather effectively and I suck.

There were even Judo dark belts who were considerably more actually forcing major areas of strength for and. In the event that you've at any point felt the strength of a Judo fellow or young lady, you know what I'm talking about.

Grapplers are more dangerous, however your normal Judoka has what I call "Guh" strength. It's simply a word I made up yet I guess it's a mix of center, stance, and hold strength that once they sanction it, they become the unflinching item.

Quick forward one month from their most memorable night in the rec center, in the event that they returned, and they were out of nowhere 3,4,5 levels above me and I could at no point ever get them in the future… except if we were striking.

BJJ legend Rickson Gracie discusses undetectable Jiu-Jitsu and that is precisely exact thing we find in cutting edge MMA.

Imperceptible JIU-JITSU:

One contender brings the other down and can battle off the ranges and accommodation endeavors apparently rather effectively however we can't fail to remember that despite the fact that their experience is wrestling, they would be lost on the ground against one more great competitor their size without some BJJ.

I needed to get that out. As of now in the development of MMA, standing up off the base is for the most part a preferable strategy over endeavoring to present your rival.

Furthermore, some would try and contend that control on top whenever you've passed the gatekeeper is more brilliant than endeavoring a sub in a predominant position since you permit them to return to their feet.

Without the base degree of BJJ, this sounds entirely impossible.

I say this on the grounds that a feeble minimal white belt such as myself with one year of BJJ ought not be ruling a D-1 grappler w at least 20 pounds on me and at least multiple times the hooking experience.

BJJ forever!

Gratitude for holding on for me. I recently felt that a blog on the battle card from Brazil was a decent opportunity to give my take.

So, according to a wagering viewpoint at this level, 90% of the time I will look towards wrestling ability first to measure my pick.

BetOnline.ag has the lines for us this week. I truly like this site for 원엑스벳 MMA wagering in light of the fact that generally, they have the better lines.

Take the Ariane Lipski versus Veronica Macedo battle for example… .really this one just got rejected a couple of moments prior however I'll in any case come to the meaningful conclusion.

Macedo was (- 150) on MyBookie.AG and (- 105) on BetOnline.AG. Before she pulled out, I planned to make the most of this one and a 30+% contrast is gigantic concerning whether we need to wager a contender.

Before we get into the wagering chances and expectations for UFC Sao Paulo, Brazil, we should recap last week's activity from Moscow, Mother Russia.VISIT HERE

UFC Moscow Recap

Okay folks, we are on an amazing roll of late.

18-1 with only one most loved more costly than (- 155) and that was a prop wagered on whether President Donald Trump would be boo'ed on the card from MSG.

We won't be ready to keep this up however I will do my best this week with an extremely cutthroat card.

In Moscow, I truly needed to go with my previous preparation accomplice Jessica Rose Clark to beat Pannie Kinzaid.

I feel significantly better about the Kinzaid pick not just on the grounds that she won an agreeable 30-27 consistent choice yet more so on the grounds that I needed to close down my heart and think carefully.

It's been extreme in the past for me with previous rec center mates Khalil Rountree Jr, Roxanne Modafferi, and MMA 윈윈벳 pioneer Mike Pyle.

At (- 108), Kinzaid had colossal worth and I really want to believe that you folks exploited that one.

We moved rapidly to the co-headliner of Alexander Volkov and Greg Hardy. This was a tremendous confuse yet I would have rather not paid for Volkov at (- 265). At heavyweight, everybody can end it with one punch, so you must be extremely cautious with almost 3-1 top choices.

Alexander is determined so I took the over 1.5 rounds at (- 120) and we traveled to a success at the 7:30 imprint.

In the headliner, the chances were almost something very similar on Zabit versus Kattar. While there was plausible of Zabit getting the W by accommodation, I enjoyed the chances on him to win a choice at (- 105).

Alongside this success, I needed to toss in a parlay of Zabit and Volkov straight up to wager 100.00 and win 84.00.

4-0!

I need to introduce the picks during the current end of the week by letting you know that I am not as sure going into this one as I have been the most recent few weeks.

I want to be nevertheless I'll put forth a valiant effort.

James Krause versus Sergio Moraes

JAMES KRAUSE

-205

SERGIO MORAES

+175

The ordinary guideline is when in Brazil-pick the Brazilian to win.

For quite a long time, nearby contenders were at a 80% success rate however throughout the course of recent months or something like that, they have dropped to about a 65% win rate. That is still awesome. They are coordinated with warriors they should KO or submit.

The group down there is staggeringly energetic and nationalistic, without a doubt and it makes for an incredible show when their folks and young ladies get the completion.

It was ending up being somewhat self-evident and it seems the UFC intermediaries Sean Shelby and Mick Maynard have pulled back on those supposed reins a little.

How about we get to these two contenders truly fast.

James Krause has been in the Octagon presumably 15-20 times in 2019. Stand by, what? No, he hasn't been battling that frequently, obviously, however the Missouri-local has started his change to mentor and cornerman a piece early.

Krause has been exceptionally effective do to a limited extent to his tender loving care and scholarly examination. This could point towards him having one foot out of the entryway with respect to contending himself however his record says something else.

James has won 5 in succession with his last triumph the greatest, a second round TKO over the consistently hazardous Warlley Alves, who is likewise on the card Saturday night.

Sergio likewise battled Alves in his keep going challenge and was forced to bear a third round TKO.

MMA math isn't regulation driven like the subject in school. To acquire from my mom's broad jargon, it's essentially bull malarkey. However, sergio is 4-4-1 in his last 9 battles. It's difficult to jump aboard with him here even at (+175).

James has the battle IQ, age, level, and venture advantage going into this one.

Serg will have the homefield advantage which might assist him with a split choice yet James battles so savvy and 37-years of age is pushing it the lightweight division thinking about how quick warriors are and response time.

I will take Krause here to win a choice. He just looked perfect against Alves who is pretty much a superior form of Moraes.

THE BET

Krause to Win

-205

Wager NOW!

Charles Oliveira versus Jared Gordon

CHARLES OLIVEIRA

-400

JARED GORDON

+330

It's difficult to accept that the UFC's unsurpassed chief is accommodation triumphs just turned 30-years of age under a month prior.

This person is an executioner! His striking has almost found his BJJ and his takedown game has persistently further developed each time he battles. This is a person who could fight for the title soon.

Charles leaves everything out there. He even has some accommodation misfortunes on his record as well. Kill or be killed as Nate Diaz likes to say.

You need to return 4 years for the last time one of his battles went to the appointed authorities' scorecards and he battles pretty darn routinely. 90% of those battles didn't actually come to the third round.

His rival Jared "Streak" Gordon is an unyielding person who wins on hostility, tension, and takedowns. Each of the three of those strategies play straightforwardly under the control of Oliveira. however, (- 400) is expensive. I could do without wagering any battle straight up with those chances.

In football, a strip, scoop, and score or pick-six is what might be compared to a KO with respect to its probability occurring. The distinction being, in football the other group has the chance to vindicate themselves.

In battling, this simply isn't true. Gordon has taken care of business in only 2 of his 5 battles under the UFC flag with two of those misfortunes stopping by the method of TKO to Brazilian resistance.

Amazing, everything focuses towards Charles finishing this one early.

However, i can't get behind the 1 to 4 chances.

I typically avoid under wagers particularly at 1.5 rounds, however this one has strong worth at (- 115).

THE BET

Under 1.5 Rounds

-115

Wager NOW!

Mauricio Rua versus Paul Craig

MAURICIO RUA

-275

PAUL CRAIG

+235